1 szt.
The Penguin Book of French Short Stories: 1
51,33
PLN
Cena rynkowa: 69.00 PLN
X
-
Załączniki bezpieczeństwa
Załczniki do produktuZałączniki dotyczące bezpieczeństwa produktu zawierają informacje o opakowaniu produktu i mogą dostarczać kluczowych informacji dotyczących bezpieczeństwa konkretnego produktu
-
Informacje o producencie
Informacje o producencieInformacje dotyczące produktu obejmują adres i powiązane dane producenta produktu.penguin books
-
Osoba odpowiedzialna w UE
Osoba odpowiedzialna w UEPodmiot gospodarczy z siedzibą w UE zapewniający zgodność produktu z wymaganymi przepisami.
We live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don’t know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives?
David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better.
In engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order.
Drawing on a wide range of captivating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know
David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better.
In engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order.
Drawing on a wide range of captivating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know
Szczegóły produktu
-
Autor:
Spiegelhalter David
-
Format:
14.0x22.0cm
-
ISBN:
9780241658628
-
Objętość:
489
-
Oprawa:
Twarda z obwolutą
-
Rok wydania:
2024
-
Tematyka:
Literatura obcojęzyczna
Polecamy także
The Penguin Book of French Short Stories: 2
43,90
PLN
Cena rynkowa: 59.00 PLN
Unprocessed
29,42
PLN
Cena rynkowa: 59.00 PLN
It's OK To Be Angry About Capitalism
44,64
PLN
Cena rynkowa: 60.00 PLN
The Four Ways to Wellbeing
66,96
PLN
Cena rynkowa: 90.00 PLN
The Social Brain
43,90
PLN
Cena rynkowa: 59.00 PLN
Happier Hour
43,90
PLN
Cena rynkowa: 59.00 PLN
Time Wise
43,90
PLN
Cena rynkowa: 59.00 PLN
Little White Lies
34,97
PLN
Cena rynkowa: 47.00 PLN
The People Watcher
35,71
PLN
Cena rynkowa: 48.00 PLN